Koniunktura w handlu : IV kwartał 2017 Badania Koniunktury Gospodarczej Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH

Abstract

In the 4th quarter of 2017 business situation in the trade sector improved. The IRG SGH trade confidence indicator (IRGTRD) quarterly increased by 0.9 pts to -2.1 pts. It is now 4.6 pts up from the respective 2016 figure, and 3.3 pts up from the four-quarters' average over the last ten years, which amounts to -5.4 pts. The balance of changes in overall standing of trading enterprises declined, compared to the previous quarter, and their financial standing diminished. However, the traders' assessment of their overall business situation is good (the balance is 9.4 pts), but they expect it to deteriorate over the next 6 months.(original abstract)