Quantification of Expectations for General Economic Situation on the Basis of Industrial Production Index with Data Revisions

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Opublikowane: gru 30, 2015
Słowa kluczowe:
Analiza ekonometryczna, Produkcja przemysłowa, Sytuacja gospodarcza, Ujęcie ilościowe

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Emilia Tomczyk
Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie

Abstrakt

Use of appropriate data vintages and taking data revisions into account have only recently became a staple of applied econometric analysis. In this paper, the topic of data vintage in regression quantification procedures is readdressed for survey data on general economic situation. From empirical analysis it follows that quantification of survey data on general economic situation on the basis of industrial production index does not present a significant improvement over the use of response balance. Additionally, results obtained for real-time and end-of-sample data are very similar and do not suggest superiority of any of these two data vintages as far as quantification of survey data on general economic situation is concerned. (original abstract)

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Nr 97 (2015): Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego
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Bibliografia

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