Trwałość pierwszych związków w kohortach urodzeniowych 1951-1960 oraz 1961-1970
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Published:
Jun 6, 2012
Keywords:
demography, relationships stability, survival analysis
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Abstract
A family, as the basic social unit has been a subject to statisticians’ and demographists’ research for many years. Recently, the marriage institution has changed not only regarding the age at which people marry and the number of children they have but also in terms of its stability. At the same time, alternative forms of family appeared, mostly cohabitations. Such a variety complicates analysis of functioning and stability of a family. It becomes even more complicated regarding the fact that cohabitation often precedes marriage thus it needs to be decided whether it should be analyzed independently or rather in relation to the marriage that comes next. However, increasing divorce rate as well as cohabitations which are more common lead to the question on the stability of marriages and informal relationships as well as other changes observed recently in this area. The main objective of the study is to analyze and compare the stability of first relationships for women from birth cohorts 1951–1960 and 1961–1970. Cohort analysis makes it possible to present the changes in marital stability that have been observed for women from demographic decline cohort (1961–1970) as compared to women from demographic bulge cohort (1951–1960). Analyzed data comes from the questionnaire D (Fertility in Poland) of the National Population and Housing Census 2002.
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How to Cite
Borucka, J., Romaniuk, J., & Frątczak, E. (2012). Trwałość pierwszych związków w kohortach urodzeniowych 1951-1960 oraz 1961-1970. Studia Demograficzne, (1(161), 103–127. Retrieved from https://econjournals.sgh.waw.pl/SD/article/view/2559
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Original research papers & review papers
References
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[2] Baranowska A., 2011, Premarital conceptions and their resolution. The decomposition of trends in rural and urban areas in Poland 1985–2009, WP Nr 10(2011), Instytut Statystyki i Demografii SGH, Warszawa.
[3] Becker G.S., Landes E.M., Michael R.T., 1977, An economic analysis of marital instability, „The Journal of Political Economy”, vol. 85, no. 6, 1141–1187.
[4] Cherlin A.J., 2004, The deinstitutionalization of American marriage, „Journal of Marriage and the Family”, vol. 66, November, 848–861.
[5] Cherlin A., 2009, The Marriage-Go-Round: The State of Marriage and the Family in America Today, Alfred A. Knopf , New York.
[6] Diekmann A., Schmidheiny K., 2004, Do Parents of Girls Have a Higher Risk of Divorce? An Eighteen-Country Study, „Journal of Marriage and Family”, vol. 66, no. 3, 651–660.
[7] European Union, 2011, Demography report 2010. Older, more numerous and diverse Europeans,European Commission, Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion, Eurostat, the Statistical Office of the European Union, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 2011, IS BN 978-92-79-17603-6, publikacja dostępna w internecie (12.11.2012): ec.europa.eu/social/BlobServlet?docId=6824&langId=en .
[8] Frątczak E., Ptak-Chmielewska A., Pęczkowski M., Sikorska I., 2011, Płodność i małżeńskość w Polsce – analiza kohortowa: kohorty urodzeniowe 1911–1986, Oficyna Wydawnicza Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie, Warszawa.
[9] Goldin C., Katz L., 2002, The power of the pill: Oral contraceptives and women’s career and marriage decisions, „Journal of Political Economy”, vol. 110, no. 4, 730–770.
[10] Greenwood J., Guner N., 2008, Marriage and divorce since World War II: Analyzing the role of technological progress on the formation of households, NBER Macro Annual, Cambridge.
[11] Heuveline P., Timberlake J.M., 2005, The role of cohabitation in family formation: The United States in comparative perspective, „Journal of Marriage and the Family”, no. 66(5), 1214–1230.
[12] Isen A., Stevenson B., 2010, Women’s education and family behavior: Trends in marriage, divorce and fertility, Working Paper 15725, National Bureau Of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA 02138, publikacja dostępna w internecie (12.11.2012): http://www.nber.org/papers/w15725.
[13] Kiernan K., 2000, Cohabitation in Western Europe: Trends, Issues and Implications, Conference: Just Living Together: Implications of Cohabitation for children, Families, and Social Policy, Population Research Institute, Pennsylvania State University.
[14] Kwak A., 2005, Rodzina w dobie przemian. Małżeństwo i kohabitacja, Wydawnictwo Akademickie Żak, Warszawa.
[15] Lednicki B., 2005, Losowanie próby do badania dzietność kobiet w NSP 2002 r., GUS (materiał niepublikowany).
[16] Lehrer E.L., 2008, Age at marriage and marital instability: Revisiting the Becker-Landes-Michael hypothesis, „Journal of Population Economics”, vol. 21, no. 2, 463–484.
[17] Lesthaeghe R., 1992, The second demographic transition in Western Countries, in IUSS P-IR P, [w:] Oppenheim M.K., Jensen A. “Gender and family change” (s. 17–62), Clarendon Press, Oxford.
[18] Levinger G., 1965, Marital Cohesiveness and Dissolution: An Integrative Review, „Journal of Marriage and Family”, no. 27, 19–28.
[19] Levinger G., 1979, A social psychological perspective on marital dissolution, [w:] Levinger G., Moles O. (red.), Divorce and separation: Context, causes, consequences (s. 37–60), Basic Books, New York.
[20] Lutz W., Wils A. B., Nieminen M., 1991, The demographic dimensions of divorce: the case of Finland, „Population Studies”, vol. 45, no. 3, 437–453.
[21] Lyngstad T.H., 2011, Does Community Context Have an Important Impact on Divorce Risk? A Fixed-Effects Study of Twenty Norwegian First-Marriage Cohorts, „European Journal of Population”, vol. 27, no. 1, 57–77.
[22] Lyngstad T.H., Jalovaara M., 2010, A review of the antecedents of union dissolution, „Demographic Research”, no. 23, 257–292.
[23] Matysiak A., 2009, Is Poland really ‘immune’ to the spread of cohabitation?, „Demographic Research”, no. 21, 215–234.
[24] McLanahan S., 2004, Diverging destinies: How children fare under the second demographic transition, „Demography”, vol. 41, no. 4, 607–628.
[25] Morgan S.P., Lye D.N., Condran G.A., 1988, Sons, daughters, and the risk of marital disruptions, „American Journal of Sociology”, no. 94, 110–29.
[26] Mynarska M., 2011, Kiedy mieć dziecko? Jakościowe badanie procesu odraczania decyzji o rodzicielstwie, Zeszyty Naukowe, Instytut Statystyki i Demografii SGH, Nr 1, 15–17.
[27] Nowak L., Stańczak J., Znajewska A., 2011, Stan i struktura ludności oraz ruch naturalny w przekroju terytorialnym w 2010 r. Stan w dniu 31 XII, Główny Urząd Statystyczny, Warszawa.
[28] Oppenheimer V.K., 1988, A theory of marriage timing, „American Journal of Sociology”, vol. 94, no. 3, 563–591.
[29] Perelli-Harris B., Sigle-R ushton W., Kreyenfeld M., Lappegård T., Keizer R., Berghammer C., 2010, The Educational Gradient of Childbearing Within Cohabitation in Europe, „Population and Development Review”, vol. 36, no. 4, 775–801.
[30] Preston, S.H., 1986, Changing values and falling birth rates, „Population and Development Review”, supplement, no.12, 176–195.
[31] Slany K., 2002, Alternatywne formy życia małżeńsko-rodzinnego w ponowoczesnym świecie, Zakład wydawniczy NOMOS , Kraków.
[32] Strzelecki Z. (red.), 2011, Sytuacja Demograficzna Polski, Raport 2010–2011, Rządowa Rada Ludnościowa, Warszawa.
[33] Styrc M., 2010, Czynniki wpływające na stabilność pierwszych małżeństw w Polsce, Studia Demograficzne 1–2(157–158), 27-60.
[34] Todesco L., 2011, A Matter of Number, Age or Marriage? Children and Marital Dissolution in Italy, „Population Research and Policy Review”, vol. 30, no. 2.
[35] Tymicki K., 2010, Validation of data quality from Polish Fertility Survey 2002 with use of cohort fertility rates, „Studia Demograficzne”, 1–2 (157–158), 61–77.
[36] Van de Kaa D.J., 1987, Europe’s Second Demographic Transition, „Population Bulletin”, vol. 42, no. I .
[37] Wieczorek M., 1990, Demograficzne, społeczne i ekonomiczne uwarunkowania rozwodów w Polsce, Monografie i O pracowania, SGPiS, Warszawa.
[38] Wroczyński R., 1985, Pedagogika społeczna, PWN, Warszawa.