Short-term fertility intentions and their realisation in Poland
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Published:
Dec 3, 2018
Keywords:
Generations and Gender Survey in Poland, fertility intentions and their stability, realisation of fertility intentions
Main Article Content
Abstract
Previous studies identified large differences between countries in the extent to which childbearing intentions are realised. Failure to realise an intention to become a parent was found to be particularly common in the post-socialist countries. In this paper we examine whether similarly low rates of realisation of fertility intentions can be found in Poland. We use two waves of the Polish Generations and Gender Survey (GGS-PL), conducted in 2010/2011 and 2014/2015. We first describe fertility intentions of Polish women and men as declared at the survey’s first wave. Next, we examine whether the short-term childbearing intentions expressed at wave 1 were followed by an actual birth by the second round of the data collection. For the respondents who did not get a child between waves 1 and 2, we analyse the stability of their fertility plans. We find that approximately 35% of the respondents who at wave 1 intended to have a child in the next three years actually had one by wave 2. Both realization and stability of fertility intentions varied markedly by gender and parity.
Article Details
How to Cite
Brzozowska, Z. ., & Mynarska, M. . (2018). Short-term fertility intentions and their realisation in Poland. Studia Demograficzne, (2(174), pp. 25–36. https://doi.org/10.33119/SD.2018.2.2
Section
Original research papers & review papers
References
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[18] Mynarska, M., Wróblewska, W., 2017, The health of women in reproductive age and their childbearing intentions, “Zdrowie Publiczne i Zarządzanie”, 15 (2), 135–143.
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[23] Spéder, Z., Kapitány, B., 2009, How are Time-Dependent Childbearing Intentions Realized? Realization, Postponement, Abandonment, Bringing Forward, “European Journal of Population”, 25 (4), 503–523.
[24] Spéder, Z., Kapitány, B., 2014, Failure to Realize Fertility Intentions: A Key Aspect of the Post--communist Fertility Transition, “Population Research and Policy Review”, 33 (3), 393–418.
[25] Tanskanen, A., Rotkirch, A., 2014, The impact of grandparental investment on mothers’ fertility intentions in four European countries. „Demographic Research”, 31 (1), 1–26.
[26] Vikat, A., Spéder, Z., Beets, G., Billari, F., Bühler, C., Désesquelles, A., Fokkema, T., Hoem, J. M., MacDonald, A., Neyer, G., Pailhé, A., Pinnelli, A., Solaz, A., 2007, Generations and Gender Survey (GGS): Towards a better understanding of relationships and processes in the life course, “Demographic Research”, 17 (14), 389–440.
[27] Williams, L., Abma, J., Piccinino, L., 1999, The correspondence between intention to avoid childbearing and subsequent fertility: a prospective analysis, “Family Planning Perspectives”, 5 (31), 220–227.
[2] Billari, F. C., Philipov, D., Testa, M. R., 2009, Attitudes, Norms and Perceived Behavioural Control: Explaining Fertility Intentions in Bulgaria, “European Journal of Population”, 25 (4), 439–465.
[3] Brzozowska, Z., Buber-Ennser, I., Riederer, B., Potančoková, M., 2018, Didn’t Plan One But Got One: Unintended and Sooner-Than-Intended Births among Men and Women in Six European Countries, “Vienna Institute of Demography Working Papers”, 5/2018.
[4] Dommermuth, L., Klobas, J., Lappegard, T., 2011, Now or later? The Theory of Planned Behavior and timing of fertility intentions, “Advances in Life Course Research”, 16, 42–53.
[5] Dommermuth, L., Klobas, J., Lappegard, T., 2015, Realization of fertility intentions by different time frames, “Advances in Life Course Research”, 24, 34–46.
[6] Eurostat, 2018, Number of private households by household composition, number of children and age of youngest child.
[7] Fokkema, T., Esveldt, I., 2008, Motivation to have Children in Europe, [in]: C. Höhn, D. Abramov, and I. Kotowska (Eds.), People, Population Change and Policies (pp. 141–155), Dordrecht: Springer.
[8] Frątczak, E., Jeleń-Osiecka, M., 2015, Przemiany płodności – intencje rodzicielskie – relacje międzypokoleniowe w Polsce, [in]: W. Majkowski (Ed.) Rodzina: Dobro Zagrożone (pp. 13–60), Kraków: Wydawnictwo Księży Sercanów.
[9] Heaton, T. B., Jacobson, C. K., Holland, K., 1999, Persistence and change in decisions to remain childless, “Journal of Marriage and Family”, 61 (2), 531–539.
[10] Klobas, J. E., Ajzen, I., 2015, Making the Decision to Have a Child, [in]: D. Philipov, A. C. Liefbroer, and J. E. Klobas (Eds.), Reproductive Decision-Making in a Macro-Micro Perspective (pp. 41–78), Dordrecht: Springer.
[11] Kocot-Górecka, K., 2015, Kulturowe role płci i dzietność w Polsce i Norwegii, “Studia Demograficzne”, 2 (168), 61–88.
[12] Kotowska, I. and Jóźwiak, J., 2011, Panelowe badanie przemian relacji między pokoleniami, w rodzinie oraz między kobietami i mężczyznami: Generacje, Rodziny i Płeć Kulturowa – GGS-PL, “Studia Demograficzne”, 159 (1), 99–106.
[13] Liefbroer, A. C., 2009, Changes in Family Size Intentions Across Young Adulthood: A Life-Course Perspective, “European Journal of Population”, 25 (4), 363–386.
[14] Mencarini, L., Vignoli, D., Gottard, A., 2015, Fertility intentions and outcomes: Implementing the Theory of Planned Behavior with graphical models, “Advances in Life Course Research”, 23, 14–28.
[15] Mönkediek, B., Bras, H., 2017, Family Systems and Fertility Intentions: Exploring the Pathways of Influence, “European Journal of Population”, 34 (1), 33–57.
[16] Mynarska, M., 2011, Kto planuje mieć dzieci w Polsce do 2015 roku?, “Studia Demograficzne”, 1 (159), 75–98.
[17] Mynarska, M. and Styrc, M., 2014, Preferencje i ograniczenia. Czynniki determinujące intencje posiadania pierwszego i drugiego dziecka, [in:] A. Matysiak (Ed.), Nowe Wzorce Formowania i Rozwoju Rodziny w Polsce. Przyczyny oraz Wpływ na Zadowolenie z Życia, (pp. 54–76). Warszawa: Scholar.
[18] Mynarska, M., Wróblewska, W., 2017, The health of women in reproductive age and their childbearing intentions, “Zdrowie Publiczne i Zarządzanie”, 15 (2), 135–143.
[19] Neyer, G., Lappegard, T., Vignoli, D., 2013, Gender Equality and Fertility: Which Equality Matters? „European Journal of Population”, 29 (3), 245–272.
[20] OECD, 2011, Doing Better for Families, Ch. 1, OECD Publishing.
[21] Philipov, D., Spéder, Z., Billari, F. C., 2006, Soon, later, or ever? The impact of anomie and social capital on fertility intentions in Bulgaria (2002) and Hungary (2001), “Population Studies”, 60 (3), 289–308.
[22] Régnier-Loilier, A., Vignoli, D., 2011, Fertility Intentions and Obstacles to their Realization in France and Italy, “Population”, 66 (2), 361–389.
[23] Spéder, Z., Kapitány, B., 2009, How are Time-Dependent Childbearing Intentions Realized? Realization, Postponement, Abandonment, Bringing Forward, “European Journal of Population”, 25 (4), 503–523.
[24] Spéder, Z., Kapitány, B., 2014, Failure to Realize Fertility Intentions: A Key Aspect of the Post--communist Fertility Transition, “Population Research and Policy Review”, 33 (3), 393–418.
[25] Tanskanen, A., Rotkirch, A., 2014, The impact of grandparental investment on mothers’ fertility intentions in four European countries. „Demographic Research”, 31 (1), 1–26.
[26] Vikat, A., Spéder, Z., Beets, G., Billari, F., Bühler, C., Désesquelles, A., Fokkema, T., Hoem, J. M., MacDonald, A., Neyer, G., Pailhé, A., Pinnelli, A., Solaz, A., 2007, Generations and Gender Survey (GGS): Towards a better understanding of relationships and processes in the life course, “Demographic Research”, 17 (14), 389–440.
[27] Williams, L., Abma, J., Piccinino, L., 1999, The correspondence between intention to avoid childbearing and subsequent fertility: a prospective analysis, “Family Planning Perspectives”, 5 (31), 220–227.