Teoria przejścia epidemiologicznego oraz fakty na przełomie wieków w Polsce
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Published:
Jun 14, 2009
Keywords:
Mortality, epidemiological transition, mortality trends in Poland, umieralność, Przemiany demograficzne, Przyczyny umieralności, Analiza demograficzna, Causes of mortality, Demographic analysis
Main Article Content
Abstract
The main purpose of the article is to study the evolution of the last stages of the epidemiological transition in Poland, and to find out whether the country has experienced the fourth stage "age of delayed degenerative diseases" during which deaths by degenerative diseases are postponed to older ages. Before presenting results of empirical analyses the epidemiological transition theory and its extensions and modifications are discussed. Moreover, the theory of health transition is presented.
Mortality analysis in Poland is based on features which are characteristic for particular stages of the epidemiological transition. The contribution of changes in the cause of death to overall life expectancy was estimated for the period from 1991 to 2006. Historical data analysis indicates that first stages of transition process in Poland were similar to those for western countries, but the onset of transition was slightly delayed. The final results of this study suggest that in Poland the fourth stage of the epidemiological transition and the second phase of the health transition have begun since the 1990s for women and since 2000 for men.
Article Details
How to Cite
Wróblewska, W. (2009). Teoria przejścia epidemiologicznego oraz fakty na przełomie wieków w Polsce. Studia Demograficzne, (1(155), 110–159. Retrieved from https://econjournals.sgh.waw.pl/SD/article/view/2600
Section
Original research papers & review papers
References
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[45] Morens D.M., Folkers G.K., Fauci A.S., 2004, The Challenge of Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases, "Nature", Vol. 430: 242-249.
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[47] Olshansky S.J., Ault B., 1986, The Fourth Stage of the Epidemiologic Transition: the Age of delayed Degenerative Diseases, "The Milbank Quarterly", Vol. 64, No. 3: 355-391.
[48] Olshansky S.J., Carnes B.A., Rogers R.G., Smith L., 1997, Infectious Diseases - New and Ancient Threats to World Health, "Population Bulletin", Vol. 52, No. 2.
[49] Olshansky S.J, Carnes B.A., Rogers R.G., Smith L., 1998, Emerging infection diseases: The Fifth Stage of the Epidemiologic Transition?, "The World Health Statistics Quarterly", Vol. 51, No. 4: 207-213.
[50] Omran A.R., 1971a, The Epidemiologic Transition: A Theory of the Epidemiology of Population Change, "The Milbank Quarterly" 2005, Vol. 83, No. 4: 731-57. Reprinted from "The Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly" 1971, Vol. 49, No. 4: 509-538.
[51] Omran A.R., 1971b, Abortion in the demographic transition, [w:] National Academy of Sciences. Office of the Foreign Secretary. Study Committee, Rapid population growth: consequences and policy implications, Baltimore, Johns Hopkins Press, POPLINE Document Number: 714073: 479-532.
[52] Omran A.R., 1979, Changing patterns of health and disease during the process of national development, [w:] G.L. Albrecht, P.C. Higgins (eds.), Health, illness and medicine: a reader in medical sociology, Rand McNally College Pub. Co., Chicago, 215-235.
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[54] Omran A.R., 1998, The Epidemiologic Transition Theory revisited thirty years later, "The World Health Statistics Quarterly", Vol. 51, No. 4: 99-119.
[55] Perrenoud A., 1989, Attenuation des crises et declin de la mortalite, "Annales de Demographie Historique", 13-29.
[56] Podrażka-Malka A., 2006, Przemiany umieralności w Polsce w latach 1988-2004 na tle przejścia epidemiologicznego, "Studia Demograficzne", nr 2/150: 3-65.
[57] Polskie tablice wymieralności 1931-1932, 1938, "Statystyka Polski" Ser. C, nr 91: 1-7.
[58] Polskie tablice wymieralności 1952-1953, 1956, "Przegląd Statystyczny", nr 4: 333-358.
[59] Preston S.H., Heuveline P., Guillot M., 2001, Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes, Blackwell Publishers, Oxford.
[60] Riley J.C., Alter G., 1989, The Epidemiologic Transition and Morbidity, "Annales De Démographie Historique", 199-213. POPLINE Document Number: 300108.
[61] Riley J.C., Sheps M., Lingner J., Menken J., 1967, The effects of changing mortality on natality: some estimates from a simulation model, "Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly", Vol. 45, No. 1: 77-97. POPLINE Document Number: 257735.
[62] Roczniki Demograficzne 1976, 2004, 2007, GUS, Warszawa.
[63] Rogers J., Nelson M.C., 1997, The Epidemiologic Transition Revisited: or What Happens if We Look Beneath the Surface?, "Health Transition Review", Vol. 7, No. 2: 241-255.
[64] Rogers R., Hackenberg R., 1987, Extending Epidemiologic Transition Theory: A New Stage, "Social Biology", Vol. 34, No. 3-4: 234-243.
[65] Salomon J.A., Murray C.J., 2002, The Epidemiologic Transition Revisited: Compositional Models for Causes of Death by Age and Sex, "Population and Development Review", Vol. 28, No. 2: 205-228.
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